Originally posted on http://www.howtomeasureanything.com/forums/ on Wednesday, July 08, 2009 2:46:05 PM by
“Hi Doug,
I want to share an observation a V.P. made after doing the 10 pass fail questions. If one was to input 50% confidence to all the questions and randomly selected T/F they would be correct 1/2 the time the difference would be 2.5.
The [...]
Entries Tagged as 'Facilitating Calibrated Estimates'
Pass/Fail Questions
June 8th, 2009 · 2 Comments
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The Statistics Behind the Calibration Scores
April 30th, 2009 · No Comments
Originally posted on http://www.howtomeasureanything.com/forums/ on Thursday, April 30, 2009 6:20:57 AM.
“Hi Douglas,
I want to thank you for your work in this area .Using the information in your book I used Minitab 15 and created an attribute agreement analysis plot. The master has 10 correct and I then plotted 9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2,1,0. From that I can see the [...]
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Length of Calibration
March 9th, 2009 · No Comments
Originally posted on http://www.howtomeasureanything.com/forums/ on Monday, March 09, 2009 9:14:11 AM.
“I just read your book and found it fascinating. Thanks.
On calibrated estimates, once experts are calibrated, do they stay calibrated?
Or do you repeat every time that you are beginning a project or making an estimate.
I’m just thinking in a corporate setting – do you just [...]
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Books Related to Calibration
February 16th, 2009 · 1 Comment
Originally posted on http://www.howtomeasureanything.com/forums/ on Monday, February 16, 2009 11:32:17 AM.
“I am looking for some material (articles or books) on the subject of Calibration. I want to be expert in Calibration.
Thakur”
I certaintly support your goal for becoming and expert in this topic. It is a well-studied topic but is still far too obscure in practical [...]
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Facilitating Calibrated Estimates
December 8th, 2008 · 3 Comments
The book shows that calibrated probability assessments really do work and it gives the reader some idea about how to employ them. But facilitating a workshop – with calibrated estimates or any other formal method – has its own challenges. Participants ask questions or make challenges about calibration or probabilities in general that sometimes confound [...]
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